Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.396962 15.342815 17.487052 20.027608 22.958860 26.238624 30.192079
2025-11-02 10.557282 13.032334 15.980246 19.759212 24.488415 30.228808 37.752053
2025-11-09 8.894889 11.578183 14.955307 19.535048 25.611192 33.434143 44.331647
2025-11-16 7.697318 10.461165 14.099704 19.267003 26.460857 36.186037 50.439762
2025-11-23 6.739021 9.504327 13.288368 18.880903 26.998862 38.449890 55.996881
2025-11-30 6.335206 9.243597 13.367474 19.690718 29.231420 43.231863 65.595985
2025-12-07 5.858142 8.812318 13.137234 19.992765 30.705550 47.000967 74.037702
2025-12-14 5.368304 8.303068 12.726785 19.955511 31.620955 49.962554 81.481080
2025-12-21 4.913972 7.798130 12.264579 19.772209 32.256298 52.501102 88.453214
2025-12-28 4.710618 7.665360 12.363604 20.482734 34.387565 57.634242 100.283244
2026-01-04 4.484275 7.470673 12.338450 20.972819 36.177145 62.340176 111.846103
2026-01-11 4.318186 7.358462 12.433750 21.665693 38.365796 67.918112 125.544719
2026-01-18 3.942224 6.859789 11.839101 21.110712 38.308125 69.545546 132.197417
2026-01-25 3.648989 6.480301 11.417780 20.824172 38.705481 72.029280 140.746312
2026-02-01 3.393618 6.145692 11.045369 20.587349 39.161046 74.643969 149.807284
2026-02-08 3.156778 5.824464 10.668840 20.304115 39.490797 77.029794 158.638955
2026-02-15 2.925773 5.494830 10.248776 19.896159 39.528867 78.827996 166.418566
2026-02-22 2.875179 5.502965 10.464394 20.751842 42.180763 86.141809 186.789760
2026-03-01 2.762092 5.380206 10.416642 21.071024 43.752268 91.363433 203.148215
2026-03-08 2.616874 5.182161 10.204504 21.031656 44.558963 95.031049 216.397838
2026-03-15 2.466593 4.962173 9.930867 20.837955 45.010763 97.962570 228.258327
2026-03-22 2.423152 4.957219 10.093669 21.588816 47.607378 105.892290 252.901219
2026-03-29 2.358389 4.902515 10.148236 22.106764 49.726277 112.941525 276.226828